Saturday, October 01, 2005

SUVs or the Sun?


Global warming has been making the news more and more; only traditional theories are being more and more debunked. Despite the chicken little screamings of "experts", more and more information, as I have asserted, appears to confirm that humans are not the cause nor have any ability to change global climate. The following is even more evidence to that effect:

Increased output from the Sun might be to blame for 10 to 30 percent of global warming that has been measured in the past 20 years, according to a new report.

Increased emissions of carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases still play a role, the scientists say.

But climate models of global warming should be corrected to better account for changes in solar activity, according to Nicola Scafetta and Bruce West of Duke University.

The findings were published online this week by the journal Geophysical Research Letters.

Scientists agree the planet is warming. Effects are evident in melting glaciers and reductions in the amount of frozen ground around the planet.

The new study is based in part on Columbia University research from 2003 in which scientists found errors in how data on solar brightness is interpreted. A gap in data, owing to satellites not being deployed after the Space Shuttle Columbia disaster, were filled by less accurate data from other satellites, Scafetta says.

The Duke analyses examined solar changes over 22 years versus 11 years used in previous studies. The cooling effect of volcanoes and cyclical shifts in ocean currents can have a greater negative impact on the accuracy of shorter data periods.

"The Sun may have minimally contributed about 10 to 30 percent of the 1980-2002 global surface warming," the researchers said in a statement today.

Many questions remain, however. For example, scientists do not have a good grasp of how much Earth absorbs or reflects sunlight.

"We don't know what the Sun will do in the future," Scafetta says. "For now, if our analysis is correct, I think it is important to correct the climate models so that they include reliable sensitivity to solar activity. Once that is done, then it will be possible to better understand what has happened during the past hundred years."

This is also confirmed here. Could this also account for the shrinking of polar ice caps on Mars?

It is interesting to note that despite this evidence, scientists are still hedging their bets
Increased emissions of carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases still play a role, the scientists say.
Personally, I still don't buy it. Scientists have been placing all their eggs in the "greenhouse gases" basket for the past 35-40 years, so totally abandoning that philosophy will probably take some time, much as it took time to abandon the buggy whip. Mind you, I'm all for clean water and clean air, but it is my contention that a lot of these folks have much grander visions, using the pretext of global warming as a trojan horse for the spreading of socialism.